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Agrium Inc.-Fourth Quarter Results Reflect Continuing Strength in the Fertilizer Sector

Release Date: 2/10/2004

 

CALGARY, Alberta, Feb 10, 2004 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Agrium Inc. (TSX:AGU) (NYSE:AGU) announced today that net earnings for the fourth quarter of 2003, excluding a loss due to the carrying cost reduction to its Kenai, Alaska nitrogen facility, were $31-million ($0.22 diluted earnings per share), slightly above the market consensus and well above the $12-million net earnings ($0.07 diluted earnings per share) for the same quarter in 2002. Inclusion of the previously announced carrying cost reduction to Kenai resulted in a net loss for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2003, of $109-million ($0.89 diluted loss per share).

"Our operating results continue to reflect the ongoing strength in the fertilizer sector as average prices for all three nutrients have increased considerably. Our wholesale margins for our main products increased compared to the third quarter of 2003," said Mike Wilson, Agrium's President and CEO. "It is unfortunate that our strong results were negatively impacted by the reduction in carrying cost to Kenai. However, we have ended 2003 in a strong financial position and anticipate fertilizer markets will remain tight through the spring season."

For the first half of 2004, Agrium anticipates the trend in year-over-year improved results to continue.

KEY DEVELOPMENTS

Grain and oilseed prices rose significantly over the past month on news from the U.S. Department of Agriculture that inventories were tighter than originally expected, and reports that China may require additional grain and oilseed imports. NYMEX natural gas prices averaged $4.58/MMBtu in the fourth quarter, while Agrium's average natural gas cost was $3.31/MMBtu. Despite the relatively high NYMEX natural gas price, there has been no significant change to North American nitrogen operating rates over the past six months given the strong nitrogen prices.

    --  The carrying cost of Agrium's Kenai, Alaska facility was
        revised, resulting in a non-cash, after tax charge of
        $140-million.

    --  North America Wholesale EBIT for the fourth quarter (excluding
        the carrying cost reduction at Kenai) was $62-million, this
        compares against $39-million during the same quarter in 2002.

    --  Profertil's nitrogen margins were $144/tonne in the fourth
        quarter, an increase of $11/tonne over the previous quarter
        and more than double the level in the fourth quarter of 2002.
        This was due to continued high global prices and low
        production costs.

    --  Convertible redeemable preferred securities in the amount of
        $50-million were converted into common shares in January of
        2004, which resulted in the issuance of an additional 4.18
        million common shares. This will have no impact on earnings
        per share on a diluted basis.

    MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS

    CONSOLIDATED RESULTS

Agrium's consolidated net loss for the fourth quarter of 2003 was $109-million compared to net earnings of $12-million for the same quarter 2002. Diluted loss per share for the quarter was $0.89 compared to diluted earnings per share of $0.07 for the fourth quarter of 2002. Before the Kenai asset impairment, Agrium had net earnings of $31-million or $0.22 diluted earnings per share for the quarter.

Earnings (loss) before interest and income taxes (EBIT) was a loss of $168-million for the fourth quarter of 2003, compared to earnings of $26-million during the same period in 2002. This decrease in EBIT is attributable to the pre-tax $235-million Kenai asset impairment which was partially offset by improved profitability in the Wholesale operations.

Consolidated net loss for year-end 2003 was $21-million compared to break-even results for 2002. Diluted loss per share for year-end 2003 was $0.25, compared to $0.08 diluted loss per share for 2002. Excluding the Kenai asset impairment, Agrium had 2003 annual net earnings of $119-million or $0.82 diluted earnings per share.

    Business Unit Discussion

    North America Wholesale

    --  Wholesale fourth quarter EBIT, excluding the Kenai asset
        impairment, was up $23-million compared to the fourth quarter
        of 2002, as Agrium's averaged realized selling price for
        nitrogen increased 43 percent. Nitrogen prices rose
        significantly due to tightening global supply as a result of
        shutdowns by some North American producers, coupled with an
        increase in demand as a result of improving agricultural
        fundamentals. Excluding the Kenai asset impairment, 2003
        year-end EBIT reached $186-million compared to $40-million in
        2002.

    North America Retail

    --  EBIT for the fourth quarter was down $1-million compared to
        the same period in 2002. This was largely due to higher
        selling costs compared to the prior year. North America Retail
        achieved its seventh consecutive record year of EBIT, totaling
        $64-million, an increase of $12-million over 2002.

    South America Wholesale

    --  Wholesale EBIT for the fourth quarter increased by $15-million
        over the previous year. This was a result of higher
        international nitrogen prices. EBIT reached $63-million for
        year-end 2003, compared to a loss of $2-million for the same
        period in 2002.

    South America Retail

    --  EBIT for Retail decreased $6-million from the same quarter in
        2002, primarily due to foreign exchange effects along with
        increased transaction taxes. Excluding the Kenai asset
        impairment, South America Retail was the only business segment
        to register a decline in year-over-year EBIT, ending the year
        with EBIT of $2-million, compared to the foreign exchange
        aided $25-million for year-end 2002.

    Financial

Cash flow from operating activities for the fourth quarter was $69-million compared to $119-million for the same quarter in 2002. This decrease in cash flow from operations was due to an increase in working capital resulting from higher accounts receivable, partially offset by higher accounts payable. As a result of our favourable cash position, we did not use our accounts receivable securitization program at year-end, 2003, compared to the $114-million in cash generated by this program at year-end, 2002.

Selling, general and administrative expenses for the fourth quarter of 2003 were up $19-million over the fourth quarter of 2002. Selling expenses comprised $11-million, primarily related to higher activity in both North America and South America Retail. General and Administrative expenses were up $8-million, largely related to staff incentive payouts and the foreign exchange effect of a stronger Canadian dollar. Segmented results for the Business Units were affected in the fourth quarter of both 2003 and 2002 as a result of reallocation of general and administrative costs, primarily affecting North America Wholesale and Corporate.

Earnings excluding carrying cost reduction and EBIT excluding carrying cost reduction are not recognized measures under GAAP. Earnings excluding carrying cost reduction are determined by adding to net earnings (loss) the expense shown in our financial statements for asset impairment. EBIT excluding carrying cost reduction is determined by adding the asset impairment to earnings before interest expense and income taxes. We consider the exclusion of the carrying cost reduction from these measures to be useful as the carrying cost reduction does not directly relate to operations for 2003.

OUTLOOK

As Agrium looks toward the first half of 2004, there are a number of factors that may positively impact first half results:

    --  Prices for ammonia are expected to remain high during the
        first quarter of 2004. North American urea prices are also
        expected to remain strong through the spring season.

    --  China's net exports for urea were over two million tonnes for
        2003. Its export activity is expected to slow into the first
        half of 2004.

    --  U.S. urea production was down 28 percent in 2003 compared to
        the previous year, while producer urea inventories ended the
        year 36 percent lower. In Canada, urea production was down 13
        percent and ending inventories down three percent, which
        contributed to the current tight supply situation. The North
        American nitrogen supply/demand situation is expected to
        remain tight into the spring, with nitrogen imports to remain
        high in order to meet anticipated strong demand.

    --  Relatively high natural gas prices in 2004 are expected to
        prevent the estimated 20 percent of North American nitrogen
        capacity that has been curtailed for the past six months from
        coming back on-stream.

    --  Phosphate prices are up 19 percent from the recent lows in
        October 2003. Some of this increase has been offset by the
        rise in the price of ammonia as an input cost. Inventories
        remain low, and the recent higher prices are expected to hold
        into the spring.

    --  Potash prices increased during the second half of 2003 and
        further increases in prices have been announced, partly due to
        higher costs. These price increases should bring margins back
        to more historical levels.

    --  Industry analysts estimate U.S. farm income rose 32 percent in
        2003 to $65-billion. This is largely a result of a good
        harvest and increased government payments in 2003.

    --  Grain prices are expected to trend upward into 2004 as a
        result of a continuing record low global stocks-to-use ratio.
        Corn prices have strengthened due to firm demand and lower
        than expected U.S. production.

    --  Industry analysts anticipate U.S. corn and soybean acreage to
        increase in 2004, with a decline in wheat acreage and a
        significant increase in cotton area. This should support U.S.
        fertilizer use in 2004.

    --  Argentina and Brazil continue to expand cropped acreage and
        have planted a record soybean crop in 2003. Brazil has
        experienced some crop disease problems in soybeans during the
        past planting season which should favour increased use of
        rotations into more nitrogen intensive crops such as wheat and
        corn. The agricultural sector in both countries remains very
        strong with increased demand for crop inputs.

Offsetting these positive indicators are some negative factors that may adversely impact first half results:

    --  The continuation of high and volatile North American natural
        gas prices could negatively impact North America Wholesale's
        margins, to the extent that higher natural gas prices are not
        fully reflected in selling prices.

    --  Any further strengthening in the Canadian dollar in the first
        quarter would negatively impact Agrium's cost of production
        for Canadian operations.

    --  The ban on beef exports by key trading partners as a result of
        Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) has had a negative
        impact on Canadian farm income in 2003. There has been no
        major impact on fertilizer demand to date.

    --  The impact of BSE on the U.S. agriculture sector is likely to
        be small, as the U.S. exports only approximately 10 percent of
        their total beef supply. However, there may be some negative
        impact on U.S. farm income for 2004 as cattle prices initially
        dropped by 20 percent following the announcement of a case of
        BSE in the U.S.

    --  Soil conditions in Western Canada remain very dry. While
        moisture early in the first quarter is not a critical
        indicator of moisture levels in the spring, Western Canada
        requires above-average precipitation in order to have adequate
        moisture for spring planting in 2004.

    OTHER

Agrium Inc. is a leading global producer and marketer of agricultural nutrients and industrial products and a major retail supplier of agricultural products and services in both North America and Argentina. Agrium produces and markets three primary groups of nutrients: nitrogen, phosphate and potash as well as micronutrients. Agrium's strategy is to grow through incremental expansion of its existing operations and acquisitions as well as the development, commercialization and marketing of new products and international opportunities.

Certain statements in this press release constitute forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, including those referred to in the management discussion and analysis section of the Corporation's most recent annual report to shareholders, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Corporation to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, weather conditions, the future supply, demand, price level and volatility of natural gas, future prices of nitrogen, phosphate and potash, the differential pricing of natural gas in various markets, the outcome of the dispute between the Corporation and Unocal, the future gas prices and availability at Kenai, the exchange rates for US, Canadian and Argentine currencies, the outcome of the Argentine gas price negotiations, Argentine domestic fertilizer consumption, future fertilizer inventory levels, future nitrogen, potassium and phosphate consumption in North America, future crop prices, future levels of nitrogen imports into North America and future additional fertilizer capacity and operating rates.

A WEBSITE SIMULCAST of the 2003 4th Quarter Conference Call will be available in a listen-only mode beginning Wednesday, February 11th at 8:00 a.m. MST (10:00 a.m. EST). Please visit the following website: http://www.agrium.com/

AGRIUM INC.
Consolidated Statements of Operations and Retained Earnings
(Millions of U.S. dollars except per share information)
(Unaudited)

                               Three months ended Twelve months ended
                                     December 31,        December 31,
                               ------------------ -------------------
                                    2003     2002      2003      2002
                               ------------------ -------------------
Sales                             $  677   $  538    $2,630    $2,198
Direct freight                        40       31       131       115
                               ------------------ -------------------
Net sales                            637      507     2,499     2,083
Cost of product                      433      365     1,760     1,564
                               ------------------ -------------------
Gross profit                         204      142       739       519
                               ------------------ -------------------
Expenses
  Selling, general and
   administrative                     82       63       286       246
  Depreciation, depletion and
   amortization                       39       40       140       148
  Asset impairment (note 3)          235        -       235         -
  Royalties and other taxes            4        5        17        19
  Other expenses and Argentine
   charges                            12        8        40        42
                               ------------------ -------------------
                                     372      116       718       455
                               ------------------ -------------------

Earnings (loss) before interest
 expense and income taxes           (168)      26        21        64
  Interest on long-term debt          14       13        58        59
  Other interest                       1        3         5         9
                               ------------------ -------------------
Earnings (loss) before income
 taxes                              (183)      10       (42)       (4)
                               ------------------ -------------------
  Current income taxes
   (recovery)                        (13)     (15)       22       (21)
  Future income taxes
   (reduction)                       (61)      13       (43)       17
                               ------------------ -------------------
  Income taxes                       (74)      (2)      (21)       (4)
                               ------------------ -------------------
Net earnings (loss)                 (109)      12       (21)        -
  Retained earnings
   - beginning of period             264      189       191       245
  Change in accounting policy
   (Note 2)                            -        -         -       (29)
  Common share dividends
   declared                           (7)      (7)      (14)      (14)
  Preferred securities
   dividends                          (3)      (3)      (11)      (11)
                               ------------------ -------------------
Retained earnings
 - end of period                  $  145   $  191    $  145    $  191
                               ------------------ -------------------
                               ------------------ -------------------

Earnings (loss) per share
 (note 6)
  Basic and diluted               $(0.89)   $0.07    $(0.25)   $(0.08)


AGRIUM INC.
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Millions of U.S. dollars)
(Unaudited)

                               Three months ended Twelve months ended
                                     December 31,        December 31,
                               ------------------ -------------------
                                    2003     2002      2003      2002
                               ------------------ -------------------
Operating:
Net earnings (loss)               $ (109)    $ 12     $ (21)      $ -
Depreciation, depletion and
 amortization                         39       40       140       148
Asset impairment (note 3)            235        -       235         -
Future income taxes (reduction)      (61)      13       (43)       17
Foreign exchange and Argentine
 charges                              (3)      (2)       (8)       14
Net change in non-cash working
 capital                             (32)      56      (114)       45
                               ------------------ -------------------
Cash provided by operating
 activities                           69      119       189       224
                               ------------------ -------------------
Investing:
Capital expenditures                 (32)     (29)      (99)      (52)
Decrease (increase) in other
 assets                                5       (9)        3         2
Proceeds from disposal of
 assets and investments                -        1        12         9
Net change in non-cash working
 capital                               8        9        26         9
Other                                  1       15         7         3
                               ------------------ -------------------
Cash used in investing
 activities                          (18)     (13)      (51)      (29)
                               ------------------ -------------------

Financing:
Common shares issued                   5        1         6       108
Bank indebtedness repayment            -      (21)       (1)     (211)
Long-term debt issue (repayment)     (24)       5       (27)       (9)
Common share dividends paid            -        -       (14)      (14)
Preferred securities dividends
 paid                                 (3)      (3)      (11)      (11)
                               ------------------ -------------------
Cash used in financing
 activities                          (22)     (18)      (47)     (137)
                               ------------------ -------------------

Increase in cash position             29       88        91        58
Cash and cash equivalents
 - beginning of period               171       21       109        51
                               ------------------ -------------------
Cash and cash equivalents
 - end of period                     200      109       200       109
                               ------------------ -------------------
                               ------------------ -------------------


AGRIUM INC.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(Millions of U.S. dollars)
(Unaudited)
                                                         As at
                                                      December 31,
                                                 --------------------
                                                    2003         2002
                                                 --------------------
ASSETS
Current assets
  Cash and cash equivalents                      $   200      $   109
  Accounts receivable                                314          187
  Inventories                                        368          353
  Prepaid expenses                                    60           35
                                                 --------------------
                                                     942          684
Capital assets                                     1,260        1,422
Other assets                                          71           85
                                                 --------------------
                                                 $ 2,273      $ 2,191
                                                 --------------------
                                                 --------------------
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Current liabilities
  Bank indebtedness                              $     -      $     1
  Accounts payable and accrued liabilities           404          340
  Current portion of long-term debt                  121           25
                                                 --------------------
                                                     525          366
Long-term debt
  Recourse debt                                      503          604
  Non-recourse debt - Profertil                      111          132
                                                 --------------------
                                                     614          736
Other liabilities (note 2)                           181          160
Future income taxes                                  132          165
                                                 --------------------
                                                   1,452        1,427
Shareholders' equity
Share capital
  Authorized: unlimited common shares and
              preferred securities
  Issued:
    Common shares: 2003 - 127 million
     (2002 - 126 million)                            490          484
    Preferred securities:
      8% Redeemable 2003 - 7 million
       (2002 - 7 million)                            172          171
      6% Convertible, redeemable 2003 - 2 million
       (2002 - 2 million) (note 4)                    50           50
Contributed surplus (note 2)                           1            -
Retained earnings                                    145          191
Cumulative translation adjustment                    (37)        (132)
                                                 --------------------
                                                     821          764
                                                 --------------------
                                                 $ 2,273      $ 2,191
                                                 --------------------
                                                 --------------------


AGRIUM INC.
Summarized Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements
For the year ended December 31, 2003
(Millions of U.S. dollars, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)

1. SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES

The Corporation's accounting policies are in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in Canada and are consistent with those outlined in the annual audited financial statements except where stated below. These interim consolidated financial statements do not include all disclosures normally provided in annual financial statements and should be read in conjunction with the Corporation's audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2002. In management's opinion, the interim consolidated financial statements include all adjustments necessary to present fairly such information.

Certain comparative figures have been reclassified to conform to the current year's presentation.

The interim consolidated financial statements include the accounts of Agrium Inc. and its subsidiaries.

FOREIGN CURRENCY TRANSLATION

Effective October 1, 2003, foreign currency translation of the Corporation's South America Retail operations was prospectively changed from the current rate method due to a significant change in economic facts and circumstances. The functional currency changed from the Argentine Peso to U.S. dollars. The circumstances supporting the change include the transacting of sales in U.S. dollars and the reduction in banking restrictions in Argentina. From the effective date of change, the exchange gains and losses deferred in cumulative translation adjustment remain unless there is a reduction in the Corporation's investment. The non-monetary balance sheet values at October 1, 2003 became the historic values going forward.

    2. CHANGES IN ACCOUNTING POLICY

    STOCK-BASED COMPENSATION

In the fourth quarter of 2003, the Corporation expensed stock options on a prospective basis effective January 1, 2003. Prospective adoption requires the fair value of compensation cost related to stock options granted in 2003 be expensed in the financial statements over the vesting period. The liability for stock options that have been expensed is recorded in contributed surplus until the options are exercised. For stock options granted prior to 2003, the Corporation will continue to provide pro-forma disclosure of the effect on net earnings (loss) and earnings (loss) per share had the fair value been expensed.

ASSET RETIREMENT OBLIGATIONS

Effective January 1, 2003, the Corporation early-adopted the new Canadian accounting standard for asset retirement obligations. Previously, when the cost of site restoration exceeded the salvage value of the asset, the Corporation accrued for retirement costs systematically to the expected settlement amount in the year the obligation was anticipated to settle. Under the new accounting policy, the Corporation recognizes asset retirement obligations in the period in which they are incurred if a reasonable estimate of fair value can be determined. The liability is measured at fair value and is adjusted to its present value in subsequent periods as accretion expense is recorded. The associated asset retirement costs are capitalized as part of the carrying amount of the long-lived asset and the asset is depreciated over the asset's estimated useful life.

The change in accounting policy was recorded retroactively. The effect of adoption on the balance sheet as at January 1, 2003 and 2002 is presented below as increases (decreases):

---------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         2003    2002
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Asset retirement cost, included in
 capital assets                                          $ 28    $ 28
Accumulated depreciation on
 capital assets                                             6       4
Asset retirement obligations,
 included in other liabilities                             35      33
Site restoration and reclamation,
 formerly included in other liabilities                   (15)     (9)
Long-term future income tax liabilities                     2       -
Opening retained earnings                                $  -    $  -
---------------------------------------------------------------------

Comparative consolidated balance sheets have been restated. Site restoration and reclamation expense recorded under the accounting policy for prior periods approximated the depreciation and accretion expense under the retroactive application of the new accounting policy. As a result, prior period statements of operations were not restated.

The Corporation recognizes asset retirement obligations associated with nitrogen, phosphate and potash production facilities, marketing and distribution facilities and phosphate and potash mine assets. These obligations generally relate to dismantlement and site restoration.

A reconciliation between the opening and closing asset retirement obligation balances is provided below:

---------------------------------------------------------------
                                             2003          2002
---------------------------------------------------------------
Balance, beginning of year                  $  35         $  33
  Foreign exchange translation                  5             -
  Accretion, included in other expense          3             2
---------------------------------------------------------------
Balance, end of year                        $  43         $  35
---------------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------

The Corporation estimates that the undiscounted cash flow required to settle the asset retirement obligation is approximately $216-million, which will be settled between 2004 and 2080.

GOODWILL AND OTHER INTANGIBLE ASSETS

Effective January 1, 2002, the Corporation adopted the new accounting standard for goodwill. This standard requires that goodwill be subject to an annual impairment test rather than being amortized. In 2002, the Corporation completed the transitional impairment test using a discounted cash flow method for the reporting unit that includes goodwill. The results of the test indicated that goodwill recorded in the Corporation's phosphate business, which was included in the reportable segment entitled "North America Wholesale," was impaired. The amount of the impairment represented the entire goodwill balance of $45-million or $29-million net of tax. The resulting impairment loss was recognized as a change in accounting policy and charged to retained earnings as of January 1, 2002.

3. CAPITAL ASSETS

In the fourth quarter of 2003, the Corporation's Kenai, Alaska, nitrogen facility in the reportable segment entitled "North America Wholesale" was determined to be impaired in the amount of $235-million ($140-million net of tax). The asset impairment was calculated as the difference between the carrying amount and the fair value of the Kenai assets. The impairment loss was proportionately allocated to reduce the cost base of the facility's asset categories.

4. SHARE CAPITAL

On December 17, 2003, the Corporation issued a redemption notice on the outstanding $50-million six percent convertible, redeemable preferred securities. The holders of the securities had the right to elect conversion of the securities into common shares at a price of $11.9677 per share for a maximum issuance of an additional 4.18 million common shares or accept redemption. The redemption price was 103 percent of the principal amount, plus accrued and unpaid dividends. Subsequent to December 31, 2003, all holders of the securities elected to convert the securities into common shares at the stated conversion price.

5. STOCK BASED COMPENSATION

As disclosed in note 2, the Corporation began prospectively expensing the fair value of stock options granted in 2003 over their vesting period. In accordance with the prospective method of adoption, the Corporation will record no compensation expense for stock options granted prior to January 1, 2003, and will continue to provide pro-forma disclosure of the effect on net earnings (loss) and earnings (loss) per share had the fair value been expensed. In 2003, the Corporation recognized total compensation expense of $1-million for stock options granted in 2003. The following table summarizes the pro-forma disclosure for stock options granted prior to 2003 that have not been expensed.

                                      Three months ended
                                          December 31,
                         --------------------------------------------
                                  2003                   2002
                         ---------------------  ---------------------
                         As Reported Pro forma  As Reported Pro forma
                         ---------------------  ---------------------
Net earnings (loss)           $ (109)   $ (109)      $   12    $   10
Earnings (loss) per share
  Basic and diluted           $(0.89)   $(0.89)      $ 0.07    $ 0.06

                                      Twelve months ended
                                          December 31,
                         --------------------------------------------
                                  2003                   2002
                         ---------------------  ---------------------
                         As Reported Pro forma  As Reported Pro forma
                         ---------------------  ---------------------
Net loss                      $  (21)   $  (26)      $    -    $   (6)
Loss per share
  Basic and diluted           $(0.25)   $(0.29)      $(0.08)   $(0.14)

6. EARNINGS (LOSS) PER SHARE

The following table summarizes the computation of net earnings (loss) per share:

                               Three months ended Twelve months ended
                                      December 31,        December 31,
                               ------------------ -------------------
                                   2003      2002      2003      2002
                               ------------------ -------------------
Numerator:

  Net earnings (loss)             $(109)    $  12     $ (21)    $   -
  Preferred securities dividends
   (net of tax)                      (3)       (3)      (11)      (11)
                               ------------------ -------------------
  Numerator for basic earnings
   (loss) per share                (112)        9       (32)      (11)
                               ------------------ -------------------

Denominator:

  Weighted average denominator
   for basic earnings per share     126       126       126       123
                               ------------------ -------------------
                               ------------------ -------------------

  Dilutive instruments:
    Stock options using the
     treasury stock method (a)        -         1         -         -
    Preferred securities converted
     to common shares
      $175-million, eight percent (a) -         -         -         -
      $50-million, six percent
       (note 4) (a)                   -         -         -         -
                               ------------------ -------------------
      Denominator for diluted
       earnings per share           126       127       126       123
                               ------------------ -------------------
                               ------------------ -------------------

Basic and diluted earnings
 (loss) per share                $(0.89)    $0.07    $(0.25)   $(0.08)

(a) For diluted earnings (loss) per share, these dilutive instruments are added back only when the impact of the instrument is dilutive to basic earnings (loss) per share.

There were 127 million common shares outstanding at December 31, 2003 (2002 - 126 million). The average common shares outstanding during the fourth quarter of 2003 and 2002 were 126 million. As at December 31, 2003, the Corporation has outstanding approximately nine million options to acquire common shares.

7. SEASONALITY

The fertilizer business is seasonal in nature. Sales are concentrated in the spring and fall planting seasons while produced inventories are accumulated throughout the year. Cash collections generally occur after the planting seasons in North America and after harvest in South America.

8. SEGMENTED INFORMATION

The Corporation's primary activity is the production and wholesale marketing of nitrogen, potash and phosphate and the retail sales of fertilizers, chemicals and other agricultural inputs and services. The Corporation operates principally in Canada, the United States and Argentina.

Net sales between segments are accounted for at prices which approximate fair market value and are eliminated on consolidation. The reportable segment entitled "Other" includes Corporate functions and inter-segment eliminations.

AGRIUM INC.
Segmented Earnings (Loss) Before Interest Expense and Income Taxes
(Millions of U.S. dollars)
(Unaudited)

                               Three months ended December 31,
                       ----------------------------------------------
                                            2003
                       ----------------------------------------------
                         North America    South America
                       Wholesale Retail Wholesale Retail Other  Total
                       ----------------------------------------------

Net sales
 - external customers     $  401  $ 176      $ 30   $ 30  $  -  $ 637
 - internal customers         29      -         1      -   (30)     -
                       ----------------------------------------------
Total net sales              430    176        31     30   (30)   637
Cost of product              320    112         9     23   (31)   433
                       ----------------------------------------------
Gross profit                 110     64        22      7     1    204
Gross profit %                26%    36%       71%    23%    3%    32%
Expenses:
  Selling, general
   and administrative         12     57         1      6     6     82
  Depreciation,
   depletion and
   amortization               29      5         4      -     2     40
  Asset impairment
   (note 3)                  235      -         -      -     -    235
  Royalties and
   Other taxes                 3      1         -      -     -      4
  Other (income)
   expenses and
   Argentine charges           4     (5)        1      1    10     11
                       ----------------------------------------------
                             283     58         6      7    18    372
                       ----------------------------------------------
Earnings (loss) before
interest expense and
 income taxes             $ (173) $   6      $ 16   $  -  $(17) $(168)
                       ----------------------------------------------
                       ----------------------------------------------



                               Three months ended December 31,
                       ----------------------------------------------
                                            2002
                       ----------------------------------------------
                         North America    South America
                       Wholesale Retail Wholesale Retail Other  Total
                       ----------------------------------------------

Net sales
 - external customers     $  296  $ 163      $ 13   $ 35  $  -  $ 507
 - internal customers         24      -         1      -   (25)     -
                       ----------------------------------------------
Total net sales              320    163        14     35   (25)   507
Cost of product              254    105         7     24   (25)   365
                       ----------------------------------------------
Gross profit                  66     58         7     11     -    142
Gross profit %                21%    36%       50%    31%    0%    28%
Expenses:
  Selling, general
   and administrative          1     49         1      1    11     63
  Depreciation,
   depletion and
   amortization               28      5         5      -     2     40
  Asset impairment
   (note 3)                    -      -         -      -     -      -
  Royalties and
   other taxes                 3      2         -      -     -      5
  Other (income)
   expenses and
   Argentine charges          (5)    (5)        -      4    14      8
                       ----------------------------------------------
                              27     51         6      5    27    116
                       ----------------------------------------------
Earnings (loss) before
 interest expense and
 income taxes             $   39  $   7      $  1   $  6  $(27) $  26
                       ----------------------------------------------
                       ----------------------------------------------

                              Twelve months ended December 31,
                       ----------------------------------------------
                                            2003
                       ----------------------------------------------
                         North America    South America
                       Wholesale Retail Wholesale Retail Other  Total
                       ----------------------------------------------

Net sales
 - external customers    $ 1,377  $ 923     $ 107   $ 92 $   - $2,499
 - internal customers         88      -         9      -   (97)     -
                       ----------------------------------------------
Total net sales            1,465    923       116     92   (97) 2,499
Cost of product            1,106    642        34     75   (97) 1,760
                       ----------------------------------------------
Gross profit                 359    281        82     17     -    739
Gross profit %                25%    30%       71%    18%    0%    30%
Expenses:
  Selling, general
   and administrative         35    208         4     14    25    286
  Depreciation,
   depletion and
   amortization               99     18        15      1     7    140
  Asset impairment
   (note 3)                  235      -         -      -     -    235
  Royalties and
   other taxes                11      5         -      -     1     17
  Other (income)
   expenses and
   Argentine charges          28    (14)        -      -    26     40
                       ----------------------------------------------
                             408    217        19     15    59    718
                       ----------------------------------------------
Earnings (loss) before
 interest expense and
 income taxes            $   (49) $  64     $  63   $  2 $ (59) $  21
                       ----------------------------------------------
                       ----------------------------------------------


                              Twelve months ended December 31,
                       ----------------------------------------------
                                            2002
                       ----------------------------------------------
                         North America    South America
                       Wholesale Retail Wholesale Retail Other  Total
                       ----------------------------------------------

Net sales
 - external customers    $ 1,094  $ 849      $ 60   $ 80 $   - $2,083
 - internal customers         78      -         4      -   (82)     -
                       ----------------------------------------------
Total net sales            1,172    849        64     80   (82) 2,083
Cost of product              976    593        28     50   (83) 1,564
                       ----------------------------------------------
Gross profit                 196    256        36     30     1    519
Gross profit %                17%    30%       56%    38%   (1)%   25%
Expenses:
  Selling, general
   and administrative         24    191         4      8    19    246
  Depreciation,
   depletion and
   amortization              102     20        18      1     7    148
  Asset impairment
   (note 3)                    -      -         -      -     -      -
  Royalties and
   other taxes                13      5         -      -     1     19
  Other (income)
   expenses and
   Argentine charges          17    (12)       16     (4)   25     42
                       ----------------------------------------------
                             156    204        38      5    52    455
                       ----------------------------------------------
Earnings (loss) before
 interest expense and
 income taxes            $    40  $  52      $ (2)  $ 25 $ (51)  $ 64
                       ----------------------------------------------
                       ----------------------------------------------


AGRIUM INC.
Net Sales and Gross Profit by Operating Unit and Product Line
(Millions of U.S. dollars)
(Unaudited)

                                Three months ended December 31,
                        ---------------------------------------------
                                             2003
                        ---------------------------------------------
                                              Tonnes (000's)
                          Net Cost of  Gross ---------------   Margin
                        Sales Product Profit Sales Inventory ($/Tonne)
                        ---------------------------------------------
North America Wholesale
 Nitrogen
  Ammonia               $ 130    $ 93   $ 37   485    176        $ 76
  Urea                    123      91     32   623    128          51
  Nitrate and other        42      34      8   244    129          33
                        ---------------------------------------------
 Total Nitrogen           295     218     77 1,352    433          57
 Phosphate - Dry           61      52      9   277     40          32
 Phosphate - Liquid        13      10      3    36     11          83
 Potash                    44      27     17   436    188          39
 Sulphate and other
  products                 17      13      4   114    115          35
                        ---------------------------------------------
                          430     320    110 2,215    787          50
                                             ------------------------
North America Retail
 Fertilizers               97      74     23
 Chemicals                 56      27     29
 Other products and
  services                 23      11     12
                        --------------------
                          176     112     64
South America Wholesale
 Nitrogen                  30       8     22   153     43         144
 Other products and
  services                  1       1      -
                        --------------------
                           31       9     22
South America Retail
 Fertilizers               21      19      2
 Other products and
  services                  9       4      5
                        --------------------
                           30      23      7
Other                     (30)    (31)     1
                        --------------------
Total                   $ 637   $ 433   $204
                        --------------------
                        --------------------


                                Three months ended December 31,
                        ---------------------------------------------
                                             2002
                        ---------------------------------------------
                                              Tonnes (000's)
                          Net Cost of  Gross ---------------   Margin
                        Sales Product Profit Sales Inventory ($/Tonne)
                        ---------------------------------------------
North America Wholesale
 Nitrogen
  Ammonia               $  77    $ 70   $  7   433    240        $ 16
  Urea                     99      83     16   704    141          23
  Nitrate and other        29      25      4   216    219          19
                        ---------------------------------------------
 Total Nitrogen           205     178     27 1,353    600          20
 Phosphate - Dry           45      37      8   234     72          34
 Phosphate - Liquid        16      12      4    46     10          87
 Potash                    38      22     16   370    195          43
 Sulphate and other
  products                 16       5     11    97    136         113
                        ---------------------------------------------
                          320     254     66 2,100  1,013          31
                                             ------------------------
North America Retail
 Fertilizers               87      65     22
 Chemicals                 51      28     23
 Other products and
  services                 25      12     13
                        --------------------
                          163     105     58
South America Wholesale
 Nitrogen                  14       7      7    98     61          71
 Other products and
  services                  -       -      -
                        --------------------
                           14       7      7
South America Retail
 Fertilizers               21      14      7
 Other products and
  services                 14      10      4
                        --------------------
                           35      24     11
Other                     (25)    (25)     -
                        --------------------
Total                   $ 507   $ 365   $142
                        --------------------
                        --------------------

                                Twelve months ended December 31,
                        ---------------------------------------------
                                             2003
                        ---------------------------------------------
                                              Tonnes (000's)
                          Net Cost of  Gross ---------------   Margin
                        Sales Product Profit Sales Inventory ($/Tonne)
                        ---------------------------------------------
North America Wholesale
 Nitrogen
  Ammonia               $ 382   $ 286  $  96 1,555    176        $ 62
  Urea                    423     323    100 2,220    128          45
  Nitrate and other       168     136     32   981    129          33
                        ---------------------------------------------
 Total Nitrogen           973     745    228 4,756    433          48
 Phosphate - Dry          204     173     31   923     40          34
 Phosphate - Liquid        57      44     13   167     11          78
 Potash                   160      99     61 1,662    188          37
 Sulphate and other
  products                 71      45     26   400    115          65
                        ---------------------------------------------
                        1,465   1,106    359 7,908    787          45
                                             ------------------------
North America Retail
 Fertilizers              402     292    110
 Chemicals                399     288    111
 Other products and
  services                122      62     60
                        --------------------
                          923     642    281
South America Wholesale
 Nitrogen                 111      31     80   634     43         126
 Other products and
  services                  5       3      2
                        --------------------
                          116      34     82
South America Retail
 Fertilizers               66      59      7
 Other products and
  services                 26      16     10
                        --------------------
                           92      75     17
Other                     (97)    (97)     -
                        --------------------
Total                  $2,499  $1,760  $ 739
                        --------------------
                        --------------------

                                Twelve months ended December 31,
                        ---------------------------------------------
                                             2002
                        ---------------------------------------------
                                              Tonnes (000's)
                          Net Cost of  Gross ---------------   Margin
                        Sales Product Profit Sales Inventory ($/Tonne)
                        ---------------------------------------------
North America Wholesale
 Nitrogen
  Ammonia               $ 242   $ 222   $ 20 1,543    240        $ 13
  Urea                    330     292     38 2,517    141          15
  Nitrate and other       140     135      5 1,099    219           5
                        ---------------------------------------------
 Total Nitrogen           712     649     63 5,159    600          12
 Phosphate - Dry          187     161     26   976     72          27
 Phosphate - Liquid        52      41     11   153     10          72
 Potash                   158      91     67 1,598    195          42
 Sulphate and other
  products                 63      34     29   397    136          73
                        ---------------------------------------------
                        1,172     976    196 8,283  1,013          24
                                             ------------------------
North America Retail
 Fertilizers              366     265    101
 Chemicals                361     266     95
 Other products and
  services                122      62     60
                        --------------------
                          849     593    256
South America Wholesale
 Nitrogen                  61      26     35   517     61          68
 Other products and
  services                  3       2      1
                        --------------------
                           64      28     36
South America Retail
 Fertilizers               53      31     22
 Other products and
  services                 27      19      8
                        --------------------
                           80      50     30
Other                     (82)    (83)     1
                        --------------------
Total                  $2,083  $1,564   $519
                        --------------------
                        --------------------


AGRIUM INC.
Net Sales and Gross Profit by Market Destination
(Millions of U.S. dollars)
(Unaudited)

                             Three months ended December 31,
                    -------------------------------------------------
                                          2003
                    -------------------------------------------------
                      Net  Cost of   Gross    Gross  Tonnes    Margin
                    Sales  Product  Profit Profit %  (000's) ($/Tonne)
                    -------------------------------------------------
North America
 Nitrogen           $ 238    $ 187    $ 51      21%   1,046      $ 49
 Phosphate             74       62      12      16%     313        38
 Potash                34       22      12      35%     298        40
 Sulphate and
  other products       13       10       3      23%      74        41
 North America
  Retail              176      112      64      36%       -         -
 Other                (28)     (30)      2       7%       -         -
                    ---------------------------------------
                      507      363     144      28%   1,731
International
 Nitrogen              86       39      47      55%     459       102
 Potash                10        5       5      50%     138        36
 Sulphate and
  Other products        5        5       -       0%      40         -
 South America
  Retail               30       23       7      23%       -         -
 Other                 (1)      (2)      1     100%       -         -
                    ---------------------------------------
                      130       70      60      46%     637
                    ---------------------------------------
Total               $ 637    $ 433   $ 204      32%   2,368
                    ---------------------------------------
                    ---------------------------------------


                             Three months ended December 31,
                    -------------------------------------------------
                                          2002
                    -------------------------------------------------
                      Net  Cost of   Gross    Gross  Tonnes    Margin
                    Sales  Product  Profit Profit %  (000's) ($/Tonne)
                    -------------------------------------------------
North America
 Nitrogen           $ 171    $ 151    $ 20      12%   1,069      $ 19
 Phosphate             61       49      12      20%     280        43
 Potash                29       18      11      38%     265        42
 Sulphate and
  other products       14        4      10      71%      83         -
 North America
  Retail              163      105      58      36%       -         -
 Other                (24)     (24)      -       0%       -         -
                    ---------------------------------------
                      414      303     111      27%   1,697
International
 Nitrogen              48       34      14      29%     382        37
 Potash                 9        4       5      56%     105        48
 Sulphate and
  other products        2        1       1      50%      14         -
 South America
  Retail               35       24      11      31%       -         -
 Other                 (1)      (1)      -        -       -         -
                    ---------------------------------------
                       93       62      31      33%     501
                    ---------------------------------------
Total               $ 507    $ 365   $ 142      28%   2,198
                    ---------------------------------------
                    ---------------------------------------


                             Twelve months ended December 31,
                    -------------------------------------------------
                                          2003
                    -------------------------------------------------
                      Net  Cost of   Gross    Gross  Tonnes    Margin
                    Sales  Product  Profit Profit %  (000's) ($/Tonne)
                    -------------------------------------------------
North America
 Nitrogen           $ 775    $ 621   $ 154      20%   3,501      $ 44
 Phosphate            261      217      44      17%   1,090        40
 Potash               117       78      39      33%   1,092        36
 Sulphate and
  other products       60       36      24      40%     298        81
 North America
  Retail              923      642     281      30%       -         -
 Other                (88)     (88)      -       0%       -         -
                    ---------------------------------------
                    2,048    1,506     542      26%   5,981
International
 Nitrogen             309      155     154      50%   1,889        82
 Potash                43       21      22      51%     570        39
 Sulphate and
  other products       15       12       3      20%     102        29
 South America
  Retail               92       75      17      18%       -         -
 Other                 (8)      (9)      1      13%       -         -
                    ---------------------------------------
                      451      254     197      44%   2,561
                    ---------------------------------------
Total              $2,499  $ 1,760   $ 739      30%   8,542
                    ---------------------------------------
                    ---------------------------------------


                             Twelve months ended December 31,
                    -------------------------------------------------
                                          2002
                    -------------------------------------------------
                      Net  Cost of   Gross    Gross  Tonnes    Margin
                    Sales  Product  Profit Profit %  (000's) ($/Tonne)
                    -------------------------------------------------
North America
 Nitrogen           $ 567    $ 516    $ 51       9%   3,786      $ 14
 Phosphate            239      202      37      15%   1,129        33
 Potash               118       74      44      37%   1,110        40
 Sulphate and
  other products       55       28      27      49%     317         -
 North America
  Retail              849      593     256      30%       -         -
 Other                (78)     (79)      1       1%       -         -
                    ---------------------------------------
                    1,750    1,334     416      24%   6,342
International
 Nitrogen             206      159      47      23%   1,890        25
 Potash                40       17      23      58%     488        48
 Sulphate and
  other products       11        8       3      27%      80         -
 South America
  Retail               80       50      30      38%       -         -
 Other                 (4)      (4)      -        -       -         -
                    ---------------------------------------
                      333      230     103      31%   2,458
                    ---------------------------------------
Total              $2,083  $ 1,564   $ 519      25%   8,800
                    ---------------------------------------
                    ---------------------------------------

SOURCE: Agrium Inc.

CONTACT: Agrium Inc.
Richard Downey, 403-225-7357
403-225-7609 (FAX)

 
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as of Nov 20 2008 12:07PM
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Agrium to present at upcoming investor conference


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Third quarter earnings seven times previous year


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